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New Report: Extreme Weather Report 2012 Latest Peer-reviewed Studies

Written by Marc Morano

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ShipTracks MODIS 2005may11New Report: 'Extreme Weather Report 2012': 'Latest peer-reviewed studies, data & analyses undermine claims that current weather is 'unprecedented' or a 'new normal'

Presented at UN Climate Conference in Doha, Qatar on Dec. 6, 2012

Introduction:
The man-made global warming movement has officially shifted from runaway global warming fears over to extreme weather fears. This strategic shift has been in the works for years as global average temperatures have stalled by up to 16 years. First there was a transition from “global warming” to “climate change” and now to “global climate disruption.” Some have suggested “global weirding” others have suggested a “new normal.”

At the opening of the 18 annual United Nations climate summit being held in Doha, Qatar, UN climate chief Christiana Figueres, urged governments around the world to “do something about” extreme weather. “We have had severe climate and weather events all over the world and everyone is beginning to understand that is exactly the future we are going to be looking about if they don't do something about it,” Figueres explained at the opening of the annual UN climate summit.

In June of this year, Democrat Rep. Henry Waxman (Ca) blamed CO2 for wildfires in Colorado and floods in Florida. “It's time to stop denying science. Extreme events like the wildfires in Colorado and the floods in Florida are going to get worse unless Republican-controlled Congress changes course soon,” Waxman explained.

Full 35-page PDF report available here.

Global warming proponents claimed that 2012 was a 'new normal' in climate with “unprecedented” weather events. Former Vice President Al Gore summed up this view when he wrote: “Every night on the news now, practically, is like a nature hike through the book of Revelations.

Sen Boxer (D-Calif), the chair of the Senate Environment & Public Works Committee declared: “Hurricane Sandy has shown us all what the scientists sitting right in this room said the day I got the gavel, & they told us exactly what would happen and it's all happening.”

But the latest peer-reviewed studies, data and analyses undermine claims that the weather is more “extreme” or “unprecedented.” On every key measure, claims of extreme weather in our current climate fail to hold up to scrutiny.

Deaths due to extreme weather are radically declining, global tropical cyclone activity is near historic lows, the frequency of major U.S. hurricanes has declined, tornados have dramatically declined since the 1950s, droughts are not historically unusual nor caused by mankind, there is no evidence we are currently having unusual weather.

· Tornadoes: Climatologist: 'There has been a downward trend in strong (F3) to violent (F5) tornadoes in U.S. since 1950s' -- 'Warming causes fewer strong tornadoes, not more'

· Drought: Study: Drought Trends, Estimates Possibly Overstated Due To Inaccurate Science – Journal Nature study 'suggests that there has been little change in drought over the past 60 years'

Are  Floods Increasing:

Prof. Pielke Jr. : 'Are US Floods Increasing? The Answer is Still No' -- 'A new paper out today shows flooding has not increased in U.S. over records of 85 to 127 years'

Extremes: Climatologist Dr. John Christy in testimony to Congress: 'Extreme events, like the recent U.S. drought, will continue to occur, with or without human causation' -- 'These recent U.S. 'extremes' were exceeded in previous decades' -- 'The expression of 'worse than we thought' climate change as documented in [James] Hansen's OpEd does not stand up to scrutiny'

Hurricanes: Prof. Roger Pielke Jr.: 'Remarkably, the U.S. is currently experiencing the longest-ever recorded period with no strikes of a Category 3 or stronger hurricane'

Professor of Environmental Studies Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. of the University of Colorado, summed up the latest science on weather extremes. : “There is no evidence that disasters are getting worse because of climate change,” he wrote. “There's really no evidence that we're in the midst of an extreme weather era - whether man has influenced climate or not,” Pielke added.

Hurrican Sandy, the 'new normal'?

Pielke Jr. also explained the data does not support linking Hurricane Sandy to man-made global warming. “Sandy was terrible, but we're currently in a relative hurricane 'drought',” he explained..

The scientific data does not support claims that Sandy was a “new normal.” See: Hurricane Facts: 'According to NOAA, they have been on decline in US since the beginning of records in 19th century. The worst decade for major (category 3,4,5) hurricanes was 1940s'

Scientist Martin Hoerling of NOAA on Sandy: 'As to underlying causes, neither the frequency of tropical or extratropical cyclones over N. Atlantic are projected to appreciably change due to climate change'

NOAA scientist Martin Hoerling debunks notion that warmer than average ocean temps made Sandy stronger: 'The unusually warm waters off Eastern Seaboard were however in areas where the background temperature is like 60 degrees Fahrenheit. So adding a few degrees Fahrenheit at that cool water temperature doesn't matter too much for the intensity of a hurricane'

125 International Scientists Rebuke UN for Climate Claims in Open Letter: 'Global warming that has not occurred cannot have caused extreme weather of past few years': 'Climate changes naturally all the time, sometimes dramatically. The hypothesis that our emissions of CO2 have caused, or will cause, dangerous warming is not supported by the evidence. The incidence and severity of extreme weather has not increased'

These scientific facts have not deterred climate activists from using Sandy and other storms to bolster their claims. Gore now claims that “All weather events now affected by global warming.”

In the 1970's, extreme weather was also blamed on humans – during the man-made global cooling scare. See: 1975: Newsweek Explained How Global Cooling Causes Extreme Droughts, Floods, Dry Spells And Heatwaves -- Global cooling 'causes an increase in extremes of local weather such as droughts, floods, extended dry spells, long freezes, delayed monsoons and even local temperature increases – all of which have a direct impact on food supplies'

During World War II, some blamed the war for causing extreme weather. See: Flashback 1941: War Caused Weather Extremes And Global Weirding! 'The ancient belief that years of war tend to bring abnormal vagaries In the weather' -- 1941: 'There have been remarkable extremes of weather since the war began, and these have continued all through the year. The spring was one of the bleakest on record, and summer began in the same way. The first 10 days of June yielded 131 hours of sunshine, which is the ordinary 'allowance' for January. Then a drought and heat of an unusual character occurred suddenly, with temps up to 94 degrees in London'

In 2012, some climate campaigners are warning the global warming activists to lay off extreme weather claims. See: Keith Kloor: 'Extreme weather and disasters has become crack cocaine to the climate community. Many of them are now hooked': 'And they come crashing down once the heat breaks and global warming disappears from the headlines'

In 2006, NASA's global warming scientist James Hansen warned against using storms as a selling point to man-made global warming. See: Flashback 2006: Hansen warns: 'We don't want the public to hang their hat on a recent storm, recent hurricanes for example, because those will fluctuate from year to year'

The website Real Science pointed out that pleasant sunny days in the Spring are now being defined as “extreme weather.” See: The New Extreme: 'NOAA counts the mild U.S. weather in March & August as 'extreme weather' . “A mild day in winter is extreme, as is a cool day in summer,” the website explained.

The promoters of man-made climate fears have essentially declared that man-made climate change will cause many bad weather events to happen. And since bad weather events always happen, there is no shortage of “proof' of their predictions. They can always claim every bad weather event as evidence of their correctness.

There is no way anyone can falsify the global warming claims now because any weather event that happens “proves” their case, despite the fact that the current weather is neither historically unprecedented, nor unusual.

Legislating the Weather

In 2012, the United Nations and President Obama is telling the world that governments should “do something” to stop bad weather. This type of mindset is akin to Medieval witchcraft where witches were blamed for cold spells and destroying crops. The history of mankind is one of superstition, fear of the “weather Gods” and rife with ritualistic appeasement at the altar bad weather.

Our modern leaders and scientists are not the first to think weather can be controlled. See: Flashback: Medieval Pope: 'Just as easily as they (witches) raise hailstorms, so can they cause lightning & storms at sea; & so no doubt at all remains on these points'

The extreme weather claims have reached a fever pitch similar to religion's apocalyptic message. See: End Times: Peace Prof. Michael Klare in Salon Mag. 'If earth continues heating at its exponential rate, our post-apocalyptic fantasies could become everyday realities' – 'We envision rising temperatures, prolonged droughts, freakish storms, hellish wildfires, and rising sea levels...food riots, mass starvation, state collapse, mass migrations, and conflicts of every sort, up to and including full-scale war, could prove even more disruptive and deadly...persistent drought and hunger will force millions of people to abandon their traditional lands and flee to the squalor of shantytowns'

The media, the UN, politicians and Hollywood figures have now touted extreme weather, particularly Hurricane Sandy, as the most powerful indicator of man-made global warming. Filmmaker Oliver Stone said of Sandy: “This is a punishment ... Mother Nature cannot be ignored.”

UK Prof. Philip Stott critiqued the view that bad weather is a form of “punishment.” “From the Babylon of Gilgamesh to the post-Eden of Noah, every age has viewed climate change cataclysmically, as retribution for human greed and sinfulness,” Stott wrote. “Extreme weather events are ever present, and there is no evidence of systematic increases...Global warming represents the latest doom-laden 'crisis,' one demanding sacrifice to Gaia for our wicked fossil-fuel-driven ways. But neither history nor science bolsters such an apocalyptic faith,” he added.

The New York Times featured an OpEd promoting the notion that we can carbon tax America into “climate stability.” See: NYT urges us to tax our way to the climate we want! A carbon tax would result in 'climate stability' & prevent an 'end [to] life as we know it'

Another development of the climate change movement reveals the ability to cite any study to support their climate claims – even contradictory claims. See: Unfalsifiable: More Than 30 Contradictory Pairs Of Peer-Reviewed Papers: 'Boreal forest fires may increase...Boreal forest fires may continue decreasing...Earth's rotation to slow down...Earth's rotation to speed up...Great Lakes less snow...Great Lakes more snow...Malaria may increase...Malaria may continue decreasing...San Francisco less foggy...San Francisco more foggy...Winters maybe warmer...Winters maybe colder'

Snow, a thing of the past or more on the way?

This was best illustrated when former Vice President Al Gore and the New York Times claimed record cold winters and blizzards were a result of man-made global warming. Gore now claims 'increased heavy snowfalls are completely consistent with... man-made global warming.' The New York Times on December 26, 2010, featured an OpEd with the headline: 'Bundle Up, It's Global Warming' and claiming “'Overall warming of the atmosphere is actually creating cold-weather extremes.'

Gore's claim of snow being "consistent" with global warming is also at odds with is Oscar Winning 2006 film “An Inconvenient Truth.” Gore never once warned of record cold and increasing snowfalls as a consequence of man-made global warming in that film. But Gore has hyped the lack of snow as "evidence" for man-made global warming. See: Flashback 2009: 'Gore Reports Snow and Ice Across the World Vanishing Quickly'

The problem for Gore and others, who make these claims, is they are on record claiming decreasing snow and cold are caused by global warming. See: Flashback: Top Democrats Warn Low Snow Levels Prove Global Warming (Video) - 'Watch Democrats Jay Inslee, Barbara Boxer, Amy Klobuchar, Robert Byrd and Dianne Feinstein express deep concern and alarm during years when winters were mild and snow was light, contending that global warming was the cause.'

Flashback 2000: According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”. “Children just aren't going to know what snow is,” Viner said.

The UN IPCC also warned of less snow. See: Climate 'Bible', the IPCC in 2007 'told us that winters would be WARMER and LESS extreme' -- UN IPCC 2007: 'More warm and fewer cold nights...fewer frost days...fewer cold outbreaks; fewer, shorter, less intense cold spells/cold extremes in winter'

Skeptical scientists have ridiculed claims of extreme weather and what they consider to be no method by which to falsify global warming claims.

Japanese scientist Kanya Kusano, a Program Director and Group Leader for the Earth Simulator at the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science & Technology, has publicly declared that man-made climate fear promotion is now akin to “ancient astrology.”

Mathematical physicist Dr. Frank J. Tipler, Professor of Mathematical Physics, astrophysics, at Tulane University, agrees with Kusano. “Whether the ice caps melt, or expand --- whatever happens --- the AGW theorists claim it confirms their theory. A perfect example of a pseudo-science like astrology,” Tipler wrote on May 15, 2009.

“It is obvious that anthropogenic global warming is not science at all, because a scientific theory makes non-obvious predictions which are then compared with observations that the average person can check for himself,” Tipler explained.

Scientist Dr. Doug Hoffman mocked climate claims."The whole enterprise is reminiscent of Medieval mystics claiming to predict the future while spouting gibberish," Hoffman, a mathematician and engineer, who worked on environmental models and conducted research in molecular dynamics simulations, wrote on October 13, 2009. "Palm readers and fortune tellers stand as good a chance as any in this game," Hoffman added.

Even religious leaders have recognized the scientific transition to paganism. See: Catholic Cardinal George Pell in 2006: 'In the past, pagans sacrificed animals and even humans in vain attempts to placate capricious and cruel gods. Today they demand a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions'

A July 2009 article in AllAfrica.com reported: “The Karimojong [in Uganda] blame the spell of calamities like drought and disease to the "angry gods". The article from AllAfrica.com goes on to explain: “Little do they know that their area is suffering the consequences of a larger problem, climate change.” Okay. Thanks. Imagine leaving people so in the dark that they believe “angry gods” are causing bad weather, when the answer is so simple, it's mankind's emission of a trace essential gas.'

Obama's Nobel Prize Winning Energy Secretary Stephen Chu. Chu has descended into a deep faith-based science without peer among cabinet officials. Chu apparently believes “predictions” are some sort of “proof” or “evidence” of what the Earth will be like 100 years from now.

Chu told a conference in California his prognostication. “At no other time in the history of science have we been able to say what the future will be 100 years from now,” Chu, the soothsayer, declared according to a June 28, 2009 article in Palo Alto Online News.

Other's in the Obama administration hold to similar views. La Cosa Climate: Commerce Sec. Warns: Americans Need 'To Pay' Or Face Mother Nature's Wrath -- Pay up or face 'floods, droughts and rising sea levels' - July 17, 2009]

Primitive cultures embraced a kind of faith based “climate astrology.” The question is, have we advanced as a modern society from old pagan rituals? See: Climatologist: Modern belief that mankind controls climate 'not that different from ancient civilizations making sacrifices to the gods of nature'

Salem Witch Trials during 'Little Ice Age': 'Women suspected of being witches-- were often accused of changing the weather'

Full 35-page PDF report available here.

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