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New Research Paper Calls for Full Investigation and Audit of both the UNIPCC and the US GCRP/CCSP

Written by Right Side News

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surface_tempThe American people need to join in and call for full transparency in the deceptive practices of all organizations involved.

A new research paper from Joe D'Aleo and Anthony Watts exposes gross errors in the surface temperature record where government policy making is based in regards to legislation to combat "global warming".

 The paper, titled "Surface Temperature Records: Policy Driven Deception?", fires holes in key findings using peer reviewed data. 

From SPPI "Authors veteran meteorologists Joe D'Aleo and Anthony Watts analyzed temperature records from all around the world for a major SPPI paper, Surface Temperature Records - Policy-driven Deception?

The startling conclusion that we cannot tell whether there was any significant "global warming" at all in the 20th century is based on numerous astonishing examples of manipulation and exaggeration of the true level and rate of "global warming".

That is to say, leading meteorological institutions in the USA and around the world have so systematically tampered with instrumental temperature data that it cannot be safely said that there has been any significant net "global warming" in the 20th century."

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Summary For Policymakers

 1.   Instrumental temperature data for the pre-satellite era  (1850-1980)have been so  widely, systematically, and unidirectionally tampered with that it cannot be credibly asserted there has been any significant "global warming" in the 20th  century.

 2.   All terrestrial surface-temperature databases exhibit very serious problems that render them useless for determining accurate long-term temperature trends.

 3.   All of the problems have skewed the data so as greatly to overstate observed warming both regionally and globally.

 4.   Global terrestrial temperature data are gravely   compromised because more than three-quarters of the 6,000 stations that once existed are no longer reporting.

 5.   There has been a severe bias towards removing higher-altitude, higher-latitude, and rural stations, leading to a further serious overstatement of warming.

 6.   Contamination by urbanization,  changes in land use,  improper siting, and inadequately-calibrated instrument upgrades further overstates warming.

 7.   Numerous peer-reviewed papers in recent years have shown the overstatement of observed longer term warming is 30-50% from heat-island contamination alone.

 8.   Cherry-picking of observing sites combined with interpolation to vacant data grids may make heat-island bias greater than 50% of 20th-century warming.

 9.   In the oceans, data are missing and uncertainties are substantial. Comprehensive coverage has only been available since 2003, and shows no warming.

 10. Satellite temperature monitoring has provided an   alternative to terrestrial stations in compiling the global   lower-troposphere temperature record.   Their findings are   increasingly  diverging from the station-based constructions   in a  manner consistent with evidence of a warm bias in the surface temperature record.

 11.  NOAA and NASA, along with CRU, were the driving forces behind the systematic hyping of 20th-century "global warming".

 12. Changes have been made to alter the historical record to mask cyclical changes that could be readily explained by natural factors like multidecadal ocean and solar changes.

 13. Global terrestrial data bases are seriously flawed and  can no longer be trusted to assess climate trends or VALIDATE model forecasts.

 14. An inclusive external assessment is essential of the surface temperature record of CRU, GISS and NCDC "chaired   and paneled by mutually agreed to climate scientists who do not   have a vested interest in the outcome of the evaluations."

 15.  Reliance on  the  global data by  both the UNIPCC and  the US GCRP/CCSP also requires a full investigation and audit.

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A Question Of Global Temperature

Recent revelations from the Climategate1 emails, originating from the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia showed how all the data centers, most notably NOAA and NASA, conspired in the manipulation of global temperature records to suggest that temperatures in the 20th century rose faster than, in reality, they actually did.

This has inspired climate researchers worldwide to take a hard look at the data proffered by comparing it to the original data and to other data sources. This report compiles some of the initial alarming findings.

There has clearly been some cyclical warming in recent decades, most notably 1979 to 1998. However, the global surface-station data is seriously compromised.

First, there is a major station dropout and increase in missing data in stations that remained which occurred suddenly around 1990; about the time the global warming issue was being elevated to importance in political and environmental circles.

A clear bias was found towards removing cooler higher elevation, higher latitude, and rural stations during this culling process though leaving their data in the base periods from which ‘averages' and anomalies are computed.

The data also suffers contamination by urbanization and other local factors such as land-use/land-cover changes and improper siting. There are uncertainties in ocean temperatures; no small issue, as oceans cover 71% of the earth's surface.

These factors all lead to significant uncertainty and a tendency for overestimation of century-scale temperature trends. A conclusion from all findings suggest that global data bases are seriously flawed and can no longer be trusted to assess climate trends or rankings or validate model forecasts. And, consequently, such surface data should be ignored for decision making.

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Related Resources

 SPPI

ICECAP.us

WattsUpWithThat?

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