New Poll, Scott Brown Pulls Ahead in Massachusetts

Written by Press Release


Tea Parties vs. the SEIU, Freedom vs. Socialism

Another new poll is out showing Republican U.S. Senate candidate, Scott Brown, ahead in the Special Election race for Senator of Massachusetts.

The highly respected American Research Group poll shows Brown ahead by 3% over his Democrat rival, the far-Left Martha Coakley (48%-45%).

The Special Election is now just 3 days away. Democrats and liberal special interest groups have dumped over $1 million into the race this week alone. Bill Clinton just campaigned for Democrat Martha Coakley, and Barack Obama is set to do the same on Sunday.

Groups like the Tea Party Express are continuing their fundraising for Scott Brown, and the SEIU has mobilized their union power to thwart the Tea Parties and other conservative groups.

The campaign of Scott Brown for U.S. Senate released a new web video today entitled "Coakley's Closing Argument." The video highlights Martha Coakley's support of the latest tax hike proposal from Washington Democrats as her closing argument to Massachusetts voters.

"In the closing days of this campaign, Martha Coakley is enthusiastically endorsing the Democrats' latest tax proposal before she even understands its potential impact on Massachusetts families," said Beth Lindstrom, campaign manager for Brown for Senate. "Martha has never met a tax increase she didn't like, and if she goes to Washington, she will eagerly rubber-stamp the big-spending, tax-raising schemes that will kill jobs and hurt our economy. Bay State voters know there is only one tax-cutter in this race, and it's not Martha Coakley." "COAKLEY'S CLOSING ARGUMENT" (WEB 51):

CHYRON: When your closing campaign argument is raising taxes - you know you're not in a good spot. You pretend to tax banks but are really taxing hardworking Americans..." SUZE ORMAN: Because what do you think the banks do? They just take it and say: "Okay." They pass those fees whether you know it or not, in my opinion down to the bottom line so that every single consumer ends up paying for those fees. (MSNBC's "Morning Joe," 1/12/10) CHYRON: ". . . banks would seek to impose the cost of any tax on customers." (Binyamin Appelbaum, "Obama To Seek Tax On Big Banks," The Washington Post, 1/14/10) REP. BARNEY FRANK: Look, what happens is the federal government has expenditures and it takes money in. Yes, some of it will go to pay for the war in Afghanistan, some of it will go to fix bridges that may be collapsing, some of it will go to one of those terrible entitlement programs. It may help to pay Social Security disability. (CNBC, 1/14/10) CHYRON: They keep spending your money ... CHYRON: "We need taxes up." -Martha Coakley (Boston University Debate, 11/31/09) CHYRON: Vote for someone who will represent you, not the political machine in Washington MAN ON THE STREET: I'm supporting Scott Brown because of the current situation that we have in Washington with health care. We're all going to get taxed too much. I feel we're getting taxed too much as we are right now. CHYRON: There is only one tax cutter in this race. CHYRON: And it's not Martha Coakley SCOTT BROWN: There's only one candidate in this race who's a tax cutter and it's not Martha Coakley ### 

From the American Research Group

January 15, 2010 - Massachusetts US Senate


Massachusetts US Senate
1/14/2010 Brown Coakley Kennedy Undecided
Likely voters 48% 45% 2% 5%
Democrats (44%) 20% 71% 1% 8%
Republicans (20%) 94% 1% - 5%
Other (36%)
58% 37% 4% 1%
Men (47%) 54% 39% 2% 5%
Women (53%) 44% 50% 2% 4%
18-49 (43%) 52% 42% 2% 4%
50 plus (57%) 46% 47% 1% 6%




Republican Scott Brown leads Democrat Martha Coakley 48% to 45% in the special Massachusetts US Senate race to replace Senator Ted Kennedy in a telephone survey conducted January 12-14 among 600 likely voters in Massachusetts saying they will definitely vote in the special election on January 19.

Brown leads Coakley 94% to 1% among registered Republicans and he leads 58% to 37% among unenrolled voters. Coakley leads Brown 71% to 20% among registered Democrats. A total of 8% of Democrats and 5% of Republicans remain undecided.

Brown leads 54% to 39% among men while Coakley leads 50% to 44% among women.

Brown leads 52% to 42% among likely voters age 18 to 49 and Coakley leads 47% to 46% among voters 50 and older.

A total of 9% of likely voters say they have already voted by absentee ballot, with Brown leading Coakley 58% to 42%.

The interviews for this survey were conducted January 12-14, 2010 among a statewide random sample of 600 likely voters in Massachusetts. To be included in the sample as a likely voter, adults 18 years and older in telephone households (1) had to be registered to vote, (2) rate their chances as a "9" or "10" on a scale of 1 to 10, with "1" meaning definitely not vote and "10" meaning definitely vote on January 19, and (3) to also say they would definitely vote on January 19 at the conclusion of the interview. A total of 263 respondents identified as likely voters are registered to vote as Democrats, 122 as Republicans, 213 as unenrolled voters, and 2 with other parties.

The theoretical margin of error for the total sample of 600 likely voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. The theoretical margin of error will be larger for any sub-samples.


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