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Temperature Change and CO2 Change - A Scientific Briefing

January 7, 2009
by Christopher Monckton
Summary for Policy Makers

THE CHIEF REASON for skepticism at the official position on "global warming" is the overwhelming weight of evidence that the UN's climate panel, the IPCC, prodigiously exaggerates both the supposed causes and the imagined consequences of anthropogenic "global warming"; that too many of the exaggerations can be demonstrated to have been deliberate; and that the IPCC and other official sources have continued to rely even upon those exaggerations that have been definitively demonstrated in the literature to have been deliberate.

In short, science is being artfully manipulated to fabricate what are in essence political and not scientific conclusions - a conclusion that is congenial to powerful factions whose ambition is not to identify scientific truth but rather to advance the special vested interests with which they identify themselves.

We have demonstrated that, if CO2 concentration continues to rise more slowly than the IPCC had predicted, and if climate sensitivity to CO2 concentration is in any event well below the IPCC's projected range, the likelihood of any "global warming" >2 °C/century to 2100 is vanishingly small.

We have also demonstrated that official sources have:
  • * relied upon questionable and occasionally downright dishonest methods to inflate the observed rate of temperature increase
  • * created the false impression that the rate of increase is itself rising when an identical argument can be used to demonstrate that it is falling
  • * diminished earlier and warmer temperatures in this century
  • * abolished the mediaeval warm period
  • * diverted attention away from the fact that throughout almost all of the Holocene, and throughout all four previous interglacial periods, surface temperatures were considerably warmer than they are today.

For reasons of length, the present paper cannot consider the numerous and flagrant official as well as unofficial distortions, inflations and exaggerations of the supposed consequences of "global warming": the present analysis has been confined only to the analysis of its imagined causes. This note should, however, be sufficient to convince the open-minded and diligent reader that, if so many artful steps have been and are being taken to falsify and exaggerate the scientific truth, perhaps the truth is not as those who are so ingeniously and persistently tampering with the science and the data would have us believe.

For the Full Report in PDF Form, please click here. [Illustrations, footnotes and references available in PDF version]
Temperature change and CO2 change: a scientific briefing

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