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Hurricane Gustav and Global Warming

Written by Marc Morano

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hurricane.jpgAugust 31, 2008
Marc Morano
Latest science debunks Hurricanes and Global Warming Link -

Before the media starts predictably linking Hurricane Gustav and Hannah to man-made global warming a sampling of a few of the most recent studies should easily silence such chatter. See below report.
A Defense Meteorological Satellite Program satellite image of Hurricane Katrina as it made landfall on the Gulf Coast of the United States Aug. 29, 2005.

1) July 25, 2008 - M.I.T. Scientists: Warming Will Actually Reduce Number of Hurricanes
American Meteorological Society report contradicts claim tropical activity increases due to climate change. http://www.businessandmedia.org/articles/2008/20080725183719.aspx

2) Recent U.S. Senate report featured latest science on Hurricane and climate link. See full report here: Senate Report 

3) Prominent hurricane expert Kerry Emanuel reconsiders global warming's impact ChronicleTechNews & Scientist refutes his own theory, finds warming does not increase hurricanes -
Excerpt: Emanuel was not disappointed that the research seemed to undercut his old results. "One gets used to being mistaken, and we follow the evidence and sometimes the evidence is contradictory and then we have to sort it out." SOURCE

4) ) Another hurricane expert reconsiders view: Study says global warming not worsening hurricanes = Meteorologist Tom Knutson: 
Excerpt: What makes this study different is Knutson, a meteorologist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's fluid dynamics lab in Princeton, N.J. He has warned about the harmful effects of climate change and has even complained in the past about being censored by the Bush administration on past studies on the dangers of global warming. He said his new study, based on a computer model, argues "against the notion that we've already seen a really dramatic increase in Atlantic hurricane activity resulting from greenhouse warming." SOURCE

5) Other scientists like Hurricane expert Dr. Bill Gray and Dr. Chris Landsea have steadfastly refuted the alleged warming hurricane link.
Excerpt: By suggesting a marked decrease in activity, the new work bolsters the views of Chris Landsea, science and operations officer at the National Hurricane Center, who has argued that the apparent recent increase in Atlantic storm counts is due solely to better observational tools - satellites and the like - which blanket coverage of the Atlantic hurricane basin. "After taking into account the changes in monitoring, the number of storms we're seeing now is on par with previous busy periods in the Atlantic," Landsea said. See: SOURCE 

6) A recent issue of Journal of Climate showing there is little or no evidence of an increase in hurricane numbers or intensity. Paper Excerpt: Little evidence was found that mean individual storm intensity has changed through time, but it is noted that the variability of intensity has certainly increased. Any increase in cumulative yearly storm intensity and potential destructiveness is therefore due to the increasing number of storms and not due to any increase in the intensity of individual storms. Full study here: SOURCE
  - The paper was authored by Climate statistician Dr. William M. Briggs, who specializes in the statistics of forecast evaluation, serves on the American Meteorological Society's Probability and Statistics Committee and is an Associate Editor of Monthly Weather Review.

In addition, extreme weather and global warming have been refuted as well.

1) Climatologist dismisses extreme weather predictions due to man-made warming as ‘complete nonsense' - By Hydro-climatologist Stewart Franks, an Associate Professor of Environmental Engineering at the University of Newcastle in Australia. (LINK )

2) Another scientist dismisses fearmongers: Midwest Floods and ‘Completely Unjustified' Climate Change Fear Mongering - June 22, 2008 - By Mike Smith is a certified consulting meteorologist and a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society He is CEO of WeatherData Services, Inc., an AccuWeather Company, based in Wichita.) (LINK )

3) U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) report shows Hurricanes declining, NO increases in drought, tornados, thunderstorms, heat-waves - June 20, 2008 - (LINK )

4) Going Down: Death Rates Due to Extreme Weather Events (LINK     )

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